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Railways demand supply scenario

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The improvements are recommended based on the percentage utilization of the railway links. An increase of about 20 percent over the present broad gauge track capacity was assumed in 2007 due to technological improvement.

The Do-Minimum Network was prepared by including the committed projects to the base year network. The committed projects considered for this purpose are as follows

Metre Gauge to Broad Gauge Conversion of

  • Bhuj-Gandhidham Section (commissioned)
  • Veraval - Junagadh - Rajkot Section (commissioned with extension to Somnath).
  • Malia Miyana - Dahinsara - Wankaner Section (commissioned)
  • Surendranagar - Dhola - Rajula - Pipavav Section (Commissioned)
  • Dhola-Bhavnagar Section (commissioned)
  • Viramgam-Mehsana Section with BoT (commissioned)
  • Mahesna-Patan Section (commissioned

Additional Broad gauge Track between

  • Godhra and Dahod (work under progress)

Missing link between

  • Kapadvanj and Modasa (commissioned)
  • Patan and Bhildi work in progress

The projected traffic was assigned on the Do-minimum network for each five year period, viz. 2002, 2007, 2012 and 2017. The network was then evaluated for the percentage utilization of each link by comparing the traffic flows with the present capacity of the railway link.

Table summarises the percentage of links having different percentage utilization.

Percentage Utilisation of Links

Percentage of links having % utilization 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017
More than 400 - - - - 1.94
Between 300 and 400 - - - 5.83 18.45
Between 200 and 300 1.94 4.85 22.33 24.27 11.65
Between 100 and 200 28.16 33.98 19.42 21.56 26.21
Less than 100 69.90 61.17 58.25 48.54 41.65
Total 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
More than 100 30.10 38.83 41.75 51.46 58

It can be inferred from the above table that around 30% of the links have more traffic than the capacity in the year 1997 and will rise to 58% in the horizon year. Around 2% of the railway links will have a utilization percentage above 400 in 2017. These figures are based on the overall loads on the existing network from ports, industries and the projected passenger traffic.